Why investors need to treat forecasts with caution

Key Points:

  •  The increasing noise around investing – associated with a messier economic and geopolitical backdrop along with an explosion in information flow and the rise of social media – is arguably accentuating a desire for investment experts, or influencers, to show us the way with forecasts.
  • But while forecasts are often seen as central to investing, they should be treated with caution and are no substitute for having a disciplined approach to investing.
  • The real value in investment experts – at least the good ones – is to provide an understanding of the issues and to put things in context to help avoid making silly mistakes.

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