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Central banks heading towards the easing exits

Key Points:

  • The gradual shift of central banks including the Fed and RBA towards an exit from monetary easing has caused
    some volatility in investment markets.
  • We continue to expect the first RBA rate hike to be in 2023, albeit there is a risk it could come in late 2022.
  • However, there are five reasons not to be too concerned: central banks are simply reflecting economic
    recovery; monetary policy remains easy; shares rose through the last Fed taper; share bull markets usually
    only end when monetary policy is tight; and it’s normal in this phase of the investment cycle for returns to slow.

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