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Five big picture implications of the war in Ukraine of relevance for investors

Key Points:

  • The situation regarding Ukraine is at high risk of getting worse before it gets better for investment markets.
  • The key is how much Russian energy exports are disrupted & whether NATO forces avoid the conflict.
  • Five big picture implications are likely to be: increased geopolitical tensions; reduced globalisation; higher commodity prices; higher inflation; and higher interest rates over the medium term.
  • Australian shares have so far been more resilient thanks to higher commodity prices & strong dividends.

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