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Harris versus Trump – implications for investors and Australia

Key Points

  • The US election has significant potential to impact markets. A Harris victory would mean more of the same, but a Trump victory could lead to uncertainty particularly around trade.
  • Australia would be vulnerable to a rapid intensification of trade wars which is looking likely under a Trump presidency.
  • Historically, shares have performed better under Democrat than Republican presidents with the best outcome being a Democrat president and Republican House and/or Senate.

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