Has the RBA finished rate hikes?

Key Points:

  • It’s likely that the RBA’s cash rate has peaked with numerous indicators pointing to slower economic growth and inflationary pressures easing.
  • While the risk in the short term is still on the upside for rates or a delay to the start of rate cuts, our base case is that rates will be on hold until early next year ahead of rate cuts starting in the March quarter.
  • Rate cuts through next year should help growth to stabilise and pick up from late 2024.

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