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Investment cycles – what are they and why investors need to be aware and wary of them

Key Points:

  • Cyclical fluctuations are a key aspect of investment markets. Most are driven by economic developments but are magnified by swings in investor  sentiment.
  • Of particular importance are the long-term cycles which are often driven by waves of innovation and the 3-5 year business cycle. Right now, we  are still in the downswing phase of the business cycle and may have entered a weaker and constrained phase of the long-term cycle.
  • Periods of poor returns invariably give way to periods of great returns and vice versa. The key for investors is to not get thrown off by cyclical fluctuations.

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