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Investment outlook Q&A

Key Points:

  • Rate hikes have worked in helping slow inflation and rate cuts are likely this year. Expect a bumpy ride though.
  • The risk of recession remains high at around 40% in the US and Australia.
  • Geopolitical risk including around the US election remains high but it’s often easy to get gloomy regarding geopolitics.
  • Share valuations are a bit stretched pointing to the risk of more volatile and constrained returns, but shares should ultimately be okay as interest rates come down.

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